Swansea City head to Elland Road on Wednesday night, almost two weeks after the transfer deadline day drama that saw winger Dan James left at Leeds United after his transfer failed at the final hour.
He missed our next game, the short trip to Bristol City, having missed training following his travels on the Thursday, but he was back to his best for Saturday’s 1-0 narrow home victory over Millwall.
Looking at the stats comparison between the two sides, Leeds have been excellent and the lead runners in both the attacking and defensive stats in the Championship this season.
Best for average possession, attempted passes and total shots, they have let standards slip lately having dominated other stats including big chances per game averages and passing accuracy (Swansea now 1st).
Looking at expected goals via Infogol, this measures the expected number of goals a team should score based on the quality of their chances they create, Leeds have a slightly higher xG for the season, just over 2 more than the Swans, but the big difference here is that Leeds have outscored their xG by 4.5 – scoring 51 goals.
Swansea, however, have scored fewer goals than xG, and 10 fewer goals than Leeds so far. That is something that needs improving because, in a nutshell, we’re not finishing chances we should be.
Looking at the defensive stats, Leeds have kept one more clean sheet compared to the Swans (11) and conceded two fewer goals (35). They also concede almost half as many big chances per game compared to Swansea City and have a conceded xG of 28.7 compared to Swansea’s 41.07. In simple terms, Leeds concede fewer big chances overall in comparison. Having said that, they have conceded only two fewer goals despite conceding significantly fewer shots on goal.
Here's #Swans rolling progress xG vs Goals Scored (via @InfoGolApp )
Again, shows that #Swans should be scoring more goals based on the chances that they're creating. pic.twitter.com/CxVkHiEegH
— Swans Analytics (@SwansAnalytics) February 11, 2019
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