Here’s a quick look at the head to head stats ahead of today’s 3pm kick-off as Swansea City aim to end a run of two consecutive defeats against yet another side who sit in the top 6.
Derby County have won twice, lost twice and drawn one in their last 5 games. Last time out at home they suffered a 3-0 defeat against Aston Villa but prior to that they beat Birmingham City 3-1 at Pride Park.
Looking at the attacking stats first, the Swans have an xG (expected goals) total of 26 compared to Derby’s 21 but unlike Frank Lampard’s side, Swansea City are under-performing in xG. In other words, given the quality of the chances they’ve created so far, they were expected to have scored 26 but have scored 5 fewer than that. You don’t need these numbers though to know that Potter’s side aren’t taking their chances which is severely holding them back.
Swansea City also average more big chances per game. Big Chances data is sourced from SofaScore and these are chances that you would expect to be converted into goals. We’ve created 27 so far – which is just 1 greater than our xG – so you can see again that our finishing needs to improve.
Derby, meanwhile, have scored 28 goals despite only averaging just over 1 big chance per game which suggests that they score more goals from positions that you wouldn’t expect them to score from. A good example of this is Welsh international Harry Wilson scoring a few wonder-goals from direct free-kicks.
Defensively, it’s more even. The Swans have conceded 4 fewer goals but have allowed just two more shots on target this season (70). In terms of shots on goal, opposition teams – on average – need 10.13 shots per goal (2.96 on target) against Derby, compared to Swansea’s slightly better 11.37 average (3.68 on target).
For |
||
Derby |
Swansea |
|
| 28 | Goals Scored | 21 |
| 57.84 | Average Possession | 55.53 |
| 1.12 | Big Chances per Game | 1.44 |
| 472.79 | Attempted Passes per Game | 514.26 |
| 370.00 | Passes Completed per Game | 420.05 |
| 77.61% | Average Pass Success Rate | 80.79% |
| 14.21 | Shots Per Game | 12.42 |
| 93 | Total Shots On Target | 72 |
| 21.03 | xG | 26.11 |
| 9.64 | Shots Per Goal | 11.24 |
| 3.32 | Shots on target per Goal | 3.43 |
Against |
||
Derby |
Swansea |
|
| 23 | Goals Conceded | 19 |
| 42.16 | Average Possession | 44.47 |
| 1.47 | Big Chances per Game | 1.44 |
| 339.37 | Attempted Passes per Game | 401.05 |
| 12.26 | Shots Per Game | 11.37 |
| 68 | Total Shots On Target | 70 |
| 19.73 | xG | 23.75 |
| 10.13 | Shots Per Goal | 11.37 |
| 2.96 | Shots on target per Goal | 3.68 |
Updated Championship Attacking Ranking Stats Matrix: #Swans now 20th for Goals Scored but 9th for xG showing they're still under-performing and not converting chances they should be. @NeathJack1 @CroJack2 @BrianManny @Jackson_SCFC @maxwellhicks pic.twitter.com/6fnyWpIUCp
— Vital Swansea (@VitalSwansea) December 1, 2018
Updated Championship Defensive Ranking Stats Matrix.#LUFC and #MiddlesbroughFC lead the way in the defensive stats. #Swans drop to 3rd best for Goals Conceded. @NeathJack1 @CroJack2 @BrianManny @Jackson_SCFC @maxwellhicks #Championship #StatsMatrix pic.twitter.com/7HEX9D6niQ
— Vital Swansea (@VitalSwansea) December 1, 2018
